卢布贬值的前因与后果

尽管12月16日，俄罗斯央行出人意料地加息650个基点，令俄罗斯基准汇率达到令人瞠目结舌的17%，但这似乎并未能遏止卢布汇率的飞流直下：当天卢布对美元汇率收盘跌了11%，盘间更一度跌穿1美元兑80卢布大关，本周以来卢布跌幅已近两成，今年内的跌幅更超过了50%。

对俄罗斯人或其他人而言，这一幕都似曾相识：1998年因“休克疗法”失败，卢布在短短一周内崩盘，最终导致大范围债务违约，加剧经济危机并引发政治动荡，从某种意义上，普京的异军突起正是拜此次货币危机所赐，而普京时代之所以在一片争议声中无惊无险地延续至今，在很大程度上也应归功于此——记忆犹新的俄罗斯人宁可忍受普京时代的某些“副作用”，也不愿那可怕的一周昔日重来。

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12.13
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12.15
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12.16


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12.17
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12.18
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12.19
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