Start from modern definition of Conditional Expectation
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Definitions
The conditional probability of the event
Let
And the density function of
The density of a conditional probability distribution of
Some useful formulas
It is clear that
P(A∩{η∈B})=∫BP(A|η=y)dPη(y)∀B∈B(R¯)
Proof:
fξ|η(x|y)=˙fξη(x,y)fη(y)
Proof:
This implies that
This complete the proof.
If
Eg(ξ)<∞ ,then
E(g(ξ)|η=y)=˙∫Rg(x)fξ|η(x|y)dx
Specially,
E(ξ|η=y)=˙∫Rxfξ|η(x|y)dx
Proof:
It follows that
This complete the proof.
The following item is the general form of the above.
Suppose that the random variables
(X,Y) are such that there is a regular distributionP(Y∈B|X=x). IfE|f(Y)| exists,then
E[f(Y)|X=x]=˙∫Rf(y)P(dy|X=x)
Proof:
Case 1:
Case 2:
It follows Case 1 that the conclusion holds if the
Case 3:
If
Case 4:
Due to
This complete the proof.
continue…
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