Start from modern definition of Conditional Expectation

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Definitions

The conditional probability of the event AF under the conditional of η=y P(A|η=y) is E(IA|η=y).

Let (ξ,η) be a pair of random variables whose joint distribution has a joint density function fξη(x,y) iff

P((ξ,η)A)=Afξη(x,y)dxdyAB(R2)

And the density function of ξ denoted by fξ(x).

The density of a conditional probability distribution of ξ with respect to η=y denoted by fξ|η(x|y) is defined as

P(ξC|η=y)=Cfξ|η(x|y)dx,CB(R)

Some useful formulas

It is clear that

P(A{ηB})=BP(A|η=y)dPη(y)BB(R¯)

Proof:

P(A{ηB})=A{ηB}dP={ηB}IAdP={ηB}E[IA|η]dP=BE[IA|η=y]dPη(y)=BP(A|η=y)dPη(y)


fξ|η(x|y)=˙fξη(x,y)fη(y)

Proof:
BB(R) and CB(R):

BCfξη(x,y)fη(y)dxdPη(y)=CBfξη(x,y)fη(y)dPη(y)dx=CBfξη(x,y)dydx=P({ξC}{ηB})=BP(ξC|η=y)dPη(y)

This implies that CB(R):
Cfξη(x,y)fη(y)dx=˙P(ξC|η=y)

This complete the proof.


If Eg(ξ)<,then

E(g(ξ)|η=y)=˙Rg(x)fξ|η(x|y)dx

Specially,
E(ξ|η=y)=˙Rxfξ|η(x|y)dx

Proof:
CB(R)

CRg(x)fξ|η(x|y)dxdPη(y)=RCg(x)fξη(x,y)dydx=ηCg(ξ)dP=ηCE[g(ξ)|η]dP=CE[g(ξ)|η=y]dPη(y)

It follows that
E(g(ξ)|η=y)=˙Rg(x)fξ|η(x|y)dx

This complete the proof.

The following item is the general form of the above.


Suppose that the random variables (X,Y) are such that there is a regular distribution P(YB|X=x).If E|f(Y)| exists,then

E[f(Y)|X=x]=˙Rf(y)P(dy|X=x)

Proof:
Case 1:
AB(R),let f=IA, then

Rf(y)P(dy|X=x)=˙P(YA|X=x)=E[f(Y)|X=x]

Case 2:
It follows Case 1 that the conclusion holds if the f is any given simple function.
Case 3:
If f is nonnegative,there is a sequence of simple functions {fn},such that
fnf

E[f(Y)|X=x]=˙limnE[fn(Y)|X=x]=˙limnRfn(y)P(dx|X=x)=˙Rf(y)P(dy|X=x)

Case 4:
Due to f=f+f,apply case 3 to f+ and f respectively.
This complete the proof.
continue…

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