POJ 2096 - Collecting Bugs(概率DP 求期望)
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Collecting Bugs
Description
Two companies, Macrosoft and Microhard are in tight competition. Microhard wants to decrease sales of one Macrosoft program. They hire Ivan to prove that the program in question is disgusting. However, Ivan has a complicated problem. This new program has s subcomponents, and finding bugs of all types in each subcomponent would take too long before the target could be reached. So Ivan and Microhard agreed to use a simpler criteria --- Ivan should find at least one bug in each subsystem and at least one bug of each category.
Macrosoft knows about these plans and it wants to estimate the time that is required for Ivan to call its program disgusting. It's important because the company releases a new version soon, so it can correct its plans and release it quicker. Nobody would be interested in Ivan's opinion about the reliability of the obsolete version.
A bug found in the program can be of any category with equal probability. Similarly, the bug can be found in any given subsystem with equal probability. Any particular bug cannot belong to two different categories or happen simultaneously in two different subsystems. The number of bugs in the program is almost infinite, so the probability of finding a new bug of some category in some subsystem does not reduce after finding any number of bugs of that category in that subsystem.
Find an average time (in days of Ivan's work) required to name the program disgusting.
Input
Output
Sample Input
1 2
Sample Output
3.0000
Source
题意:
一个软件有s个子系统,会产生n种bug。某人一天发现一个bug,这个bug属于一个子系统,属于一个分类 每个bug属于某个子系统的概率是1/s,属于某种分类的概率是1/n 问发现n种bug,每个子系统都发现bug的天数的期望。
入门概率DP
dp[i][j] 表示已有i种bug、j个子系统的前提下,要到达目标所需要发现的bug期望数。
因为期望是线性的,可以分解成多个子期望的加权和,权为子期望发生的概率,即 E(aA+bB+...) = aE(A) + bE(B) +...
对于当前状态i,j
再发现一个bug,可能有下面4中情况:
1.发现的这个bug 在 当前已发现的i种bug之中,并且在 当前已发现j个子系统之中。概率 p1 = i*j/(n*s) 数量 dp[i][j]+1
2.发现的这个bug 在 当前已发现的i种bug之中,并且不在 当前已发现j个子系统之中。概率 p1 = i*(s-j)/(n*s) 数量 dp[i][j+1]+1
3.发现的这个bug 不在 当前已发现的i种bug之中,并且在 当前已发现j个子系统之中。概率 p1 = (n-i)*j/(n*s) 数量 dp[i+1][j]+1
4.发现的这个bug 不在 当前已发现的i种bug之中,并且不在 当前已发现j个子系统之中。概率 p1 = (n-i)*(s-j)/(n*s)数量 dp[i+1][j+1]+1
所以:
dp[i][j] = i*j*(dp[i][j]+1)/(n*s) + i*(s-j)*(dp[i][j+1]+1)/(n*s) + (n-i)*j*(dp[i+1][j]+1)/(n*s) + (n-i)*(s-j)*(dp[i+1][j+1]+1)/(n*s)
==>
dp[i][j] = { i*j*dp[i][j] + i*(s-j)*dp[i][j+1] + (n-i)*j*dp[i+1][j] + (n-i)*(s-j)*dp[i+1][j+1] } / (n*s) + 1;
移项化简==>
dp[i][j] = { i*j*dp[i][j] + i*(s-j)*dp[i][j+1] + (n-i)*j*dp[i+1][j] + (n-i)*(s-j)*dp[i+1][j+1] + n*s }/ (n*s-i*j)
#include <cstdio>#include <iostream>#include <vector>#include <algorithm>#include <cstring>#include <string>#include <map>#include <cmath>#include <queue>#include <set>using namespace std;//#define WIN#ifdef WINtypedef __int64 LL;#define iform "%I64d"#define oform "%I64d\n"#define oform1 "%I64d"#elsetypedef long long LL;#define iform "%lld"#define oform "%lld\n"#define oform1 "%lld"#endif#define S64I(a) scanf(iform, &(a))#define P64I(a) printf(oform, (a))#define P64I1(a) printf(oform1, (a))#define REP(i, n) for(int (i)=0; (i)<n; (i)++)#define REP1(i, n) for(int (i)=1; (i)<=(n); (i)++)#define FOR(i, s, t) for(int (i)=(s); (i)<=(t); (i)++)const int INF = 0x3f3f3f3f;const double eps = 10e-9;const double PI = (4.0*atan(1.0));const int maxn = 1000 + 20;double dp[maxn][maxn];int main() { int n, s; while(scanf("%d%d", &n, &s) != EOF) { dp[n][s] = 0; for(int i=n; i>=0; i--) { for(int j=s; j>=0; j--) { if(i==n && j==s) continue; dp[i][j] = ((n-i)*j*dp[i+1][j] + i*(s-j)*dp[i][j+1] + (n-i)*(s-j)*dp[i+1][j+1] + n*s) / (n*s-i*j); } } printf("%.4f\n", dp[0][0]); //注意POJ G++ %f 而不是%lf } return 0;}
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